Goodwood Stakes features Lava Man

Horseracing Betting Lines

09/26/2007 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champ Lava Man returns to face nine rivals in Saturday's $500,000 Goodwood Stakes at Santa Anita Park. The winner of the race will gain automatic entry into the $5 million Breeders' Cup Classic as part of the "Win and You're In" program.

Lava Man, owned by STD Racing and Jason Wood, can become the third horse to repeat as the winner of the Goodwood. Lord At War won in 1984 and 1985, and Pleasantly Perfect posted consecutive victories in 2002 and 2003.

Trained by Doug O'Neill, Lava Man will be ridden by Corey Nakatani from post seven. The six-year-old gelding is coming off a rare loss, he was sixth in the Pacific Classic at Del Mar. This year he repeated as the winner of the Santa Anita Handicap and won his third straight Hollywood Gold Cup.

Lava Man has won 17 of 41 lifetime starts for more than $5.2 million.

Dennis O'Neill, brother and associate of Doug, recently indicated that Lava Man may also be entered in the Oak Tree Mile on turf next weekend. "Beyond that," Dennis said, "the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile definitely is a possibility. That race is worth $1 million, but if he were to run big, we'd have to think of the ($2 million) Breeders' Cup Mile. We've got all kinds of options."

Santa Anita Derby winner Tiago will face older horses for the first time in the 1 1/8 mile race. The three-year-old has drawn post four with Mike Smith set to ride. The pair are coming off a solid victory in the Swaps Stakes at Hollywood Park in July.

Owned by Mr. and Mrs. Jerry Moss, the colt has earned $815,270 in seven career starts with three wins. John Shirreffs trains Tiago who was seventh in the Kentucky Derby and third in the Belmont Stakes.

With Pacific Classic winner Student Council going in the Hawthorne Gold Cup on Saturday, the top finisher from the Del Mar event entered in the Goodwood is runner-up Awesome Gem. The four-year-old will start from post eight with David Flores in the saddle.

Awesome Gem is trained by Craig Dollase for owners West Point Stable and others. The gelding has won four of 13 lifetime starts for $531,360. Prior to the Pacific Classic he was second in the San Diego Handicap to the now deceased Sun Boat.

Here is the complete field for the 26th Goodwood Stakes in post position order: Arson Squad, Victor Espinoza; Hello Sunday, Brice Blanc; Lewis Michael, Eddie Baird; Tiago, Mike Smith; Porfido, Joel Rosario; Big Booster, Michael Baze; Lava Man, Corey Nakatani; Awesome Gem, David Flores; A. P. Xcellent, Jose Valdivia, Jr. and Wanna Runner, Tyler Baze.

The Goodwood has a scheduled post-time of 7:30 p.m. (et).

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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